Modarres Home Page - Publications

Risk Analysis in Engineering: Probabilistic Techniques, Tools and Trends, M. Modarres, CRC Press (2006).

Statistical Distribution Functions and Tables Used in Reliability Engineering, Webb W., Modarres, M., Mosleh, A., and Smidts,C. Center for Reliability Engineering, 2004.

Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide, M. Modarres, M. Kaminskiy, and V. Krivtsov, Marcel Dekker, New York, N.Y., 1998.

Commercial Nuclear Power: Assuring Safety for the Future, C. Ramsey and M. Modarres, John Wiley & Sons, New York, N.Y., 1998.

WHAT EVERY ENGINEER SHOULD KNOW ABOUT: Reliability and Risk Analysis, M. Modarres, Marcel Dekker, New York, N.Y., 1993.

Interdisciplinary Approach to Developing a Probabilistic Risk Analysis Model: Applications to a Beef Slaughterhouse Tanya Roberts, Clare Narrod, Scott Malcolm, and Mohammad Modarres, Book Chapter in Interdisciplinary Food Safety Research (N. H. Hooker and E. A. Murano, eds.), CRC Press, FL, 2001

Reliability Engineering, M. Modarres, and F. Joglar, Book Chapter in SPFE Handbook of Fire Protection, Society of Fire Protection Engineers, Third Edition, 2001.

Logic-Logic-Based Hierarchies for Modeling Behaviors of Complex Dynamic Systems with Applications, Y.-S. Hu and M. Modarres, Fuzzy Systems and Soft Computing in Nuclear Engineering, M. Modarres, Da Ruan ed., Springer-Verlage, 1999.

Probabilistic Risk Assessment, M. Modarres, Chapter in Wiley's Encyclopedia of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, to appear 1998.

Reliability Engineering, M. Modarres and H-Y. Hu, Book Chapter in SPFE Handbook of Fire Protection, Society of Fire Protection Engineers, Second Edition, 1995.

Proceedings of the International Workshop on Software Systems (WRTP2004/IWSS2004), M. Modarres (Editor), International Federation of Automatic Control (IFAC), Center for Technology Risk Studies, 2004

Proceedings of the Fifth Functional Modeling Workshop, Center for Reliability Engineering, College Park, MD July 2003.

Proceedings of the 2nd Workshop on Uses of Risk-Information by Federal Agencies, Center for Technology Risk Studies, College Park, MD December, 2003.

Proceedings of the Workshop on Uses of Risk-Information by Federal Agencies, Center for Technology Risk Studies, College Park, MD September, 2001.

Proceedings of the International Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA'99), American Nuclear Society, Washington, D.C., (Vols I & II), ISBN 0-89448-640-3, 1999

Proceedings of the Fifth Functional Modeling Workshop, M. Modarres, Center for Reliability Engineering, College Park, MD, 1998.

Proceedings of the Second Functional Modeling Workshop, M. Lind, and M. Modarres Technical University of Denmark, Institute for Automation, (pending, to appear in 1998).

Proceedings of the Fourth Functional Modeling Workshop, M. Modarres, Center for Reliability Engineering, College Park, MD, ISBN 0-9652669-3-1, 1997.

Proceedings of the First Functional Modeling Workshop, M. Modarres and A. Poucet, Center for Reliability Engineering, College Park, MD, ISBN 0-9652669-0-7, 1996.

Proceedings of the Third Functional Modeling Workshop, M. Modarres and M. Lind, Center for Reliability Engineering; College Park, MD, ISBN 0-9652669-2-3, 1996.

Proceedings of Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, M. Modarres and A. Poucet, American Nuclear Society, La Grange Part, IL, ISBN: 0-89448-197-5, 1995.

Reliability Engineering and System Safely J., Special Issue on Functional Modeling Application to Complex Engineering Systems, M. Modarres, ed., Vol. 64(May 1999).

Reliability Engineering & System Safety J., Special Issue on Advanced Computer Applications in Safety, Reliability Assessment and Management, A. Poucet, M. Modarres, and P. Kafka, eds., Vol. 44, No. 3, 1994.

Physics of Failure Modeling of Corrosion Fatigue Crack Growth in Steel Compressed Natural Gas Bus Cylinders, S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering And System Safety J., Submitted (2005).

Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation: Implications of a Safety Goals-Driven Performance-Based Regulation, M. Modarres, Risk Analysis Submitted for Publication (2005).

A Probabilistic Model for Fire Detection with Applications, F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, Fire Technology J., 41, 151-172 (2005).

Compressed Natural Gas Safety: A Quantitative Analysis, S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, Risk Analysis J., 25, 377-389 (2005).

Generalized Renewal Process: Models, Parameter Estimation and Applications to Maintenance Problems, Jose L. Hurtado , Francisco Joglar , Mohammad Modarres, International Journal on Performability Engineering, 1, July (2005).

A historical overview of probabilistic risk assessment development and its use in the nuclear power industry: a tribute to the late Professor Norman Carl Rasmussen, W. Keller and M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 89, 271-285 (2005).

Technology-Neutral Nuclear Power Plant Regulation: Implications of a Safety Goals-Driven Performance-Based Regulation, M. Modarres, Nuclear Engineering & Technology, Vol. 37, No.3 (2005).

Probabilistic Modeling for Fracture Mechanics Studies of Reactor Vessel with Characterization of Uncertainties, F. Li and M. Modarres, Submitted (invited) to Nuclear Engineering and Design (Feb. 2003).

A Probabilistic Model for Fire Detection with Applications, F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, Submitted to Fire Technology J. (Feb. 2003).

Hazard Assessment of Fire in Electrical Cabinets, E. Avidor, F.J. Joglar-Billoch, F.W. Mowrer, M. Modarres, Nuclear Technology (To Appear August 2003)

Mathematical Formulation of the Generalized Renewal Process for Modeling Failures in Repairable Systems for Performance-Based Applications, M. Yanez, F. Joglar, and M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety J., 77 (2002), pp. 167-180.

Application of Integrated TH-PA Method to the Westinghouse AP600 Reactor, Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, M. diMarzo, D. Bessette, Nuclear Technology J. Vol. 133, No.3, pp 269 – 289, March 2001.

A Method of Integrating Thermal Hydraulic Analysis and Probabilistic Assessment for Safety Evaluation and Screening, Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, Nuclear Technology J., Vol. 133, No.3, pp 290 – 309, March 2001.

Evaluating System Behavior through Dynamic Master Logic Diagram (DMLD) Modeling, Y.-S. Hu, M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., Vol 64, pp. 241-269, 1999.

Functional Modeling of Complex Systems (Editorial), M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering and System Safety J., Vol 64, 1999.

Function-Centered Modeling of Engineering Systems Using the Goal Tree-Success Tree Technique and Functional Primitives, M. Modarres, S. W. Cheon, Reliability Engineering and Systems Safety, Vol. 64, pp. 181 - 200, 1999.

Ensuring and Automating Software Assurance Based on a Logic Model, Y-S. J. Hu and M. Modarres, Reliability Engineering & System Safety Journal, Special Issue on Functional Modeling, Vol. 64, 1999.

Dominance of Reason over Intuition: Emergence of Risk-Based Regulation. M. Modarres, Marine Safety Council Proceedings Coast Guard Journal of Safety at Sea, Vol. 53, No. 2, April 1996.

Time-Dependent System Knowledge Representation Based on Dynamic Master Logic Diagrams, Y. S. Hu and M. Modarres, Control Engineering Practice, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 89-98, October 1996.

The Accident Sequence Precursor Analysis: Review of The Methods And New Insights, M. Modarres, H. Martz, M. Kaminskiy, Nuclear Science and Engineering, 123, (1996) pp. 238-258

Application of REVEAL_W to Risk-based Configuration Control, H Dezfuli, M. Modarres, J. Meyer. Reliability Engineering and System Safety Journal, Vol. 44, No. 3, 1994.

Comment: Toward The Practical Use of Expert System Technique For Process Disturbance Management, I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 28 (1990) 314-317.

A Model-Based Approach to On-line Process Disturbance Management: The Models, I. Kim, M. Modarres and N. Hunt, Reliability Eng. & Syst. Safety J., 28 (1990) 265-305.

Increasing The Performance of Engineering Systems, M. Modarres, Reliability Review J., Vol. 6, No. 182, pp. 21-24, 1986.

J A Method of Predicting Availability Characteristics of Series-parallel Systems, M. Modarres, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, R-33, 4, pp. 309-312, 1984.

Truncation Methodology For Evaluating Large Fault Trees, M. Modarres, and H. Dezfuli, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. R-33, 4, pp. 325-328, 1984.

A General Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis, M. Pour Gol-Mohammad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, June 2004.

A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in Risk-Informed Decisions, M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, PSAM-7, ESREL 04 Joint Conference, Berlin, Germany, June 2004.

Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems, M. Modarres and Yu-Shu Hu, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Software Systems, Published by Springer for IFAC, Istanbul, Turkey, Sept. 2004.

Probabilistic and Deterministic Treatments for Multiple Flaws in Reactor Pressure Vessel Safety Analysis, T. Fang and M. Modarres, 17th Mechanics in Reactor Technology, SMiRT-17 biennial Conference, Prague, Czech Republic, August, 2003.

A Study of Implications of Using Importance Measures in System Safety and Security, M. Azarkhail, M. Modarres, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.

Engineering Risk Analysis Experience at the University of Maryland, M. Modarres, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.

Application of Bayes Theorem on Thermal Hydraulics Uncertainty Analysis, M. Pour Gol-Mohammad, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.

Engineering-Based Risk Analysis of Food Processes with Applications, K. Fritz, M. Modares, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.

Risk Approaches for Enhanced Security of Facilities and Activities, N. Eisenberg, M. Modarres, Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Dec. 2003.

Fracture Toughness (KIc) Uncertainty Characterization and Treatment, Fei Li, M. Modarres, International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.

Food Safety Risk Communication Training, N. Eisenberg, B. Silverberg, M. Modarres, D. Trachewsky, International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.

A Characterization and Modeling of Complex Engineering Systems, M. Modarres and Y-S Hu, 6th International Functional Modeling Workshop, College Park, MD, July 2002.

Comparative Fire Risk of CNG and Diesel Buses, M. Modarres, Panel on CNG Health and Safety, SAE International Truck & Bus Meeting & Exhibition, Detroit, MI, Nov. 2002.

Hazard assessment of fire risk in electrical cabinets E. Avidor, F. Joglar-Billoch, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, PSA’02, Detroit, MI, Nov. 2002.

Risk-Informed Plant Security Analysis, M. Modarres Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Hollywood, FL., June 2002.

Uncertainty Characterization of Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness for Risk-Informed Applications F. Li and M. Modarres, Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Arlington, VA, April 2002.

Overview of Risk Issues in Compressed Natural Gas Vehicles, S. Chamberlain, M. Modarres, International PSAM 6 Conference, Puerto Rico, June 2002.

A Combined PRA and Thermal-Hydraulics Analysis For Integrated Scenario Screening, F. Li, M. Modarres, Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.

Consideration of Uncertainty in Ranking of Components for Risk-Informed Applications, M. Modarres, Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.

Description of a Two-Zone Fire Model for Hazard Screening, F. Joglar-Billoch, F. W. Mowrer, and M. Modarres, Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Nuclear Engineering Sponsored by ASME, Baltimore, MD, April 2000.

KIC/ KIC Uncertainty Characterization, F. Li, M. Modarres, and M. Natishan, Proceedings of the IAEA Specialists Meeting on “Methodology and Supporting Research for the Pressurized Thermal Shock Evaluation”, Rockville, MD, July 2000.

Advances in the Assessment of Availability and Reliability of Repairable Aerospace Systems, M. Yañez, F. Joglar and M. Modarres, Workshop on Nondeterministic Approaches and Their Potential for Future Aerospace Systems, Langley Research Center, Hampton VA, NASA/CP-2001-211050, May 2001.

Characterization of Uncertainty in the Measurement of Nuclear Reactor Vessel Fracture Toughness and Probability of Vessel Failure, F. Li, M. Modarres Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Annual Meeting, Milwaukee, WI, June 2001.

Development of Thermal hydraulic Screening Criteria for Pressurized Thermal Shock Analysis, Proceedings of the 16th Mechanics in Reactor Technology or SMiRT-16 biennial Conference, August, 2001.

Treating Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties in Analyses of Pressurized Thermal Shock, N. Siu, H. Woods, S. Malik, D. Bessette, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, International PSAM 5 Conference, Nov. 2000.

Using Engineering Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methods in Food Safety, K. Fretz, Y.S. Hu, M. Modarres, Proceedings of the Annual Society for Risk Analysis conference, Dec. 2000.

Functional Modeling of Complex Systems with Applications, M. Modarres, Proceedings of the Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, Jan. 1999 (Invited).

Description of a Fire Hazard Screening Methodology, F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, A. Azarm, Fire & Safety ‘99, Fire Protection and Prevention in Nuclear Facilities, Frankfurt, Germany Feb. 1999.

Probabilistic-Deterministic Fire Risk Analysis, F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, A. Azarm, Fire & Safety ‘99, Fire Protection and Prevention in Nuclear Facilities, Frankfurt, Germany Feb. 1999.

Representing Dynamic System Behaviors Through a Hierarchic Model, Y.S. HU, M. Modarres, International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’99), August 1999.

Description of a Fire Hazard Screening Methodology, F. Joglar, F. Mowrer, M. Modarres, International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’99), August 1999.

Automate Hierarchy-Based Dynamic System Behavior Estimation: Method and Software Tool, Y.S. Hu, M. Modarres, International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA’99), August 1999.

Integrated Thermal Hydraulic Analysis and Probabilistic Assessment for Safety Evaluation and Scenario Screening with Applications to the Westinghouse AP600 Reactor, Y. Guan, F. Li, M. Modarres, (PSA’99), August 1999.

System-Software Interface for Safety Related Digital I&C Systems, N. Kececi, C. Smidts, M. Modarres, Y-S. Hu, Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference: Gateway to the next Millennium, Munich, Germany, September 1999.

Overview and Possible Uses of Engineering Risk and Performance Assessment Techniques in Food Safety, M. Modarres, Proceedings of 1999 Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Atlanta, GA, Dec. 1999.

Applying Engineering Models to Pathogen Control in Beef Slaughter Plants, T. R. Roberts and M. Modarres, Proceedings of 1999 Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting, Atlanta, GA, Dec. 1999.

Application of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) In Value Benchmarking, Dzung Le and M. Modarres, National ANS Meeting, Nashville, TN, June 1998.

Functional Modeling of Physical Systems Using the Goal Tree Framework, M. Modarres, AAAI-98 Workshop on Functional Modeling and Teleological Reasoning, Madison, WI, July 1998.

Design of Function-Based Human-Machine Interfaces for Procedural Task Management of Operators, S . W. Cheon and M. Modarres, International PSAM-IV Conference, New York City, September 1998.

Software Development Life Cycle Model to Ensure Software Quality, N. Kececi and M. Modarres, International PSAM IV Conference, New York City, September 1998.

Consideration of Partial Failures in Probabilistic Risk Studies, Toni Ni, M. Modarres, the 5th Topical Meeting on Nuclear Thermal-Hydraulic Operation & Safety, NUTHOS5, April, 1997, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

Goal Tree - Success Tree as a Functional Model: A Semiotic Perspective, 5th Functional Modeling Workshop, Paris, France, July 1997.

A Functional Classification Based on Conservation Principles, M. Modarres, 5th International Functional Modeling Workshop, July 1997.

Diagnosing Partial Failures: Investigating the Use of New Modeling Approach, IFAC Symposium on Fault Detection, Supervision and Safety for Technical Processes: Safeprocess'97, Hull, UK, August 1997.

Function-Based Multiresolutional Modeling of Complex Systems, M. Modarres, Intelligent Systems and Semeiotics'97 Conference, Sept. 1997.

Reactor Safety Assessment System (RSAS) Development and Lessons Learned, J. O'Brien, D. Marksberry, M. Modarres, Lyon, France, September 1997.

Thermal-Hydraulic-Probabilistic Analysis (TH-PA) Integration Method and Its Application Identify AP-600 BDBA Scenarios, Y. Guan, M. Modarres, M. diMarzo and D. Bassette, 25th Water Reactor Safety Information Meeting, October 1997.

Assessment of Maintenance Effectiveness, H. Hadavi, M. Modarres, M. Fakery, '96 SMC Simulation Multi-conference, Colorado April 1996.

Functional Modeling for Integration of Human-Software-Hardware in Complex Physical Systems, M. Modarres, 4th Functional Modeling Workshop, Athens, Greece, June 19-20, 1996.

Reactor Safety Assessment Systems: Summary of Methods and Experience, D. Marksberry, M. Modarres, T. Ballard, and V. Krivtsov, PSAM III/ESREL'96 Conference, Crete, Greece, June 24-28, 1996.

Functional Modeling Using Dynamic Master Logic Diagram (DMLD), Y-S. Hu, M. Modarres, PSAM III/ESREL'96 Conference, Crete, Greece June 24-28, 1996.

Risk-Based Performance Analysis Using MEMORES, H. Hadavi, M. Modarres, M. Fakery, PSAM III/ESREL'96 Conference, Crete, Greece, June 24-28, 1996.

Using Dynamic Master Logic Diagram for Component Partial Failure Analysis, T. Ni, M. Modarres, ASME Pressure Vessels & Piping & ICPVT-8, Montreal, Canada, July 1996.

Development of Partial Failure Analysis Method in Probabilistic Risk Assessment, T. Ni, M. Modarres, ASME Pressure Vessels & Piping & 1CPVT-8, Montreal, Canada, July 1996.

Identification of Hidden Failures In Control Systems: A Functional Modeling Approach, A. Jalashgar, M. Modarres, Intelligent Systems and Soft Computing for Nuclear Science and Indus-try, September 25-27, 1996, Mel, Belgium, World Scientific ISBN: 981-02-2003-0, 1996.

Functional Modeling for Integration of Human-Software-Hardware in Intelligent Information, M. Modarres, Invited Paper, FLINS'96, the Second International FLINS Workshop on Intelligent Systems and Soft Computing for Nuclear Science and Industry, September 25-27, 1996, Mol, Belgium, World Scientific Pub. ISBN: 981-02-20030, 1996.

Consideration of Probabilistic Uncertainty In Risk-Based Importance Ranking, M. Agarwal, Modarres, PSA'96 : International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment, Sept.29 - Oct. 3, 1996.

The Emergency Operating Procedure (EOP) Mode of the Operator Support Expert System (OSES), S. Kumar, M. Modarres, R. Fakery, '95 SMC Simulation Multi-conference, Phoenix, AZ April 1995.

C.54 Maintenance Effectiveness Monitoring System (MEMORES) Development, H. Hadavi, M. Modarres, R. Fakery '95 SMC Simulation Multi-conference, Phoenix, AZ April 1995.

A Comparison of Three Functional Modeling Methods, R. Irehvije, M. Modarres, M. Lind, Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

Evaluating System Behavior Through Dynamic MPLD Modeling, Y-H. Hu and M. Modarres, Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

An Adaptive Model For a Dynamic Master Logic Diagram, K. Ouliddren, M. Modarres, Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

MEMORES: A Code to Monitor the Effectiveness of Maintenance in Nuclear Power Plants, M. H. Hadavi, M. Modarres, R. Fakery, Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

Development of a Operator Support Expert System (OSES): An Application of Expert System Technology to Nuclear Power Plant Operation, S. Kumar, H Hadavi, M. Modarres, R. Fakory, Topical Meeting on Computer-based Human Support Systems: Technology, Methods and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

Partial Failure Effects of Safety Systems and Components in Light Water Reactor, T. Ni and M. Modarres, ASME Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii, PVP-vol. 312, Seismic Engineering, July 1995.

Towards a Taxonomy of System Failures, J. C. Ruiz and M. Modarres, Proceeding of the PSAM-II Conference, San Diego, CA, March 1994

Inferring Safety Trend From the Accident Sequence Precursor Analysis Program, M. Modarres, Proceeding of the PSAM-II Conference, San Diego, CA, March 1994.

An Introduction to Dynamic MPLD Model, Y. S. Hu and M. Modarres, Proceeding of the PSAM-II Conference, San Diego, CA, March 1994.

Risk-Based Regulation Using REVEAL, Fl. Dezfuli, J. Meyer, M. Modarres, H. Specter, Proceeding of the PSAM-II Conference, San Diego, CA, March 1994.

Model-Based Expert System for a Dynamic Autonomous Fault Administration for Process Plants, J. Won, M. Modarres, Annual Simulation Multi-Conference, San Diego, CA, March 1994.

Time-Dependent System Knowledge Representation Based on Dynamic MPLD, Y-S Hu, M. Modarres, 2nd IFAC Workshop on Computer Software Structures Integrating AI/KBS Systems in Process Control, August 1994, Lund, Sweden.

A Pragmatic Approach to a Function-Centered Ontology of Complex Physical Systems, M. Modarres 2nd International Workshop on Functional Modeling of Complex Technical Systems, Copenhagen, Denmark, August 1994

A Joint Reference Model Architecture for Intelligent Vehicle Control Systems, M. J. Juberts, M. Modarres, Int. Symp. on Automotive Tech. & Automation, Aachen, Germany, Nov. 1994.

The Effect of Partial Failures on The Risk of a Nuclear Power Plant, L. Hammersten and M. Modarres, ANS/ENS Conf. on Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA'93), Clearwater, FL, Jan. 1993.

Probabilistic Safety Assessment Using SMART, H. Dezfuli, M. Modarres, A. Ghassemi, W. Martschenko, and J. Meyer, Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA'93), ANS Topical Meeting, Clearwater, FL, Jan. 1993.

Functional Modeling of Complex Systems Using a GTST-MPLD Framework, M. Modarres, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Functional Modeling of Complex Technical Systems, Ispra, Italy, May 1993.

On-Line Fault Administration: Investigation of the Role of Expert Systems, L. Chen, J. Won, M. Modarres, Artificial Intelligence and Robotics in Nuclear Plants Conf. (AIR'92), Tokyo, Japan, May 1992 (Invited).

A Framework to Assess the Influence of Organizations on Plant Safety, M. Modarres and A. Mosleh, Trans. of the National Meeting of ANS, Boston, June 1992 (Invited).

Application of the Master Plant Logic Diagram in Risk-Based Evaluations During Design, M. Modarres, Transaction of the ANS National Meeting, Boston, June 1992.

Programmatic Performance Indicator Development, N. Grossman, A. Mosleh, and M. Modarres, Inter. Conf. On Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM, Beverly Hills, Feb. 1991.

Direct Evaluation of Systems Using Expert System Technology, M. Modarres, Inter. Conf. on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM, Beverly Hills, Feb. 1991.

Application of Master Plant Logic Diagram (MPLD) PC-Based Program in Probabilistic Risk Assessment, J.H. Zamanali, M. Modarres, and J. Wang, Inter. Conf on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM, Beverly Hills, Feb. 1991.

Assessing Plant Safety Performance Using Direct and Indirect Indicators, N. Grossman, M. Modarres, and A. Mosleh, 1lth SMIRT Conf, Tokyo, August 1991.

Autonomous Decision Making Expert System for Fault Administration, L. Chen and M. Modarres, Proc. of Advances in Human Factors Research on Man/Computer Interaction, Nashville, TN, June 1990, pp. 24-30.

Amalgamation of Performance Indicators, J. Wreathall and M. Modarres, 18th NRC Water Reactor Safety Information Conf., Rockville, Md, Oct. 1990.

A New Look at Uncertainty Analysis, M. Amirghasemi and M. Modarres, Proc. of 1SUMA'90, 1st Inter. Symp. on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, College Park, MD, Dec. 1990.

Toward Building Real-Time Expert System for On-Line Process Disturbance Management Using Model-Based Reasoning, I.S. Kim and M. Modarres, Proc. Of the 7th Power Plant Dynamics, Control and Testing Symposium, Knoxville, TN, May 1989.

RSAS: A Reactor Safety Assessment System, D. Sebo, D. Marksberry, and M. Modarres, Proc. of the 7th Power Plant Dynamics, Control and Testing Symposium, Knoxville, TN, May 1989.

Model-Based Process Disturbance Control, I.S. Kim and M. Modarres, Proc. Of the Expert Systems Applications for the Electric Power Industry Conf., Orlando, FL, June 1989.

An Expert System for Emergency Response, D. Sebo, D. Marksberry, and M. Modarres, Proc. Of the Amer. Nuclear Sec. National Meeting, June 1989.

A Knowledge-based Approach to Root-Cause Failure Analysis, M. Modarres, H. Su, R. Hunt, L. Chen, and M. Danner, Proc. Of the Expert Systems Applications for Electric Power Industry Conf., Orlando, Fl, June 1989.

REX: An Expert System for Reliability Analysis, J. Wang and M. Modarres, Proc. Of 10th SMiRT Post-conference Workshop on Role and Use of PC's in PSA and Decision Making, Beverly Hills, CA, August 1989.

Application of the Root-cause Workstation in the Identification of the Causes of Reactor Scram, R.N. Hunt, M. Danner, and M. Modarres, Proc. Of ANS Topical Meeting on Engineering for Nuclear Plant Operation and Maintenance, Myrtle Beach, S.C., April 1988.

Development of a Root-Cause Analysis Workstation and its Test Applications, N. Hunt, D. Chung, and M. Modarres, 15th Inter-RAM Conf, Portland, Or, June 1988.

Performing a Plant Specific PRA by Hand - A Practical Reality, R.N. Hunt and M. Modarres, Presented at the 14th Inter-RAM Conf., Minneapolis, June 1987.

MAKE: Maryland Automatic Knowledge Extractor, N. Kapoor, M. Modarres, and T. McAvoy, Presented at the 1987 Amer. Control Conf, Minneapolis, June 1987.

Goal Tree-Success Tree Model as the Knowledge-Base of Operator Advisory Systems, I. Kim and M. Modarres, Topical Meeting on Artificial Intelligence and Other Innovative Computer Applications in Nuclear Industry, Snowbird, Utah, Sept. 1987 (Invited Paper).

A Method of Fault Diagnosis: Presentation of a Deep-Knowledge System, D. Chung and M. Modarres, Proc. Of the Ann. AIChE Conf., NY, NY, Nov. 1987.

The Integrated Approach Methodology for Operator Information Evaluation, R.N. Hunt, M. Roush, M. Modarres, R. Pearce, and K. Stroube, ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Human Factors, April 1986.

An Integral Approach to Analysis of Potential Plant Improvement, M. Modarres, M.L. Roush, R.N. Hunt, and B. Pearce, Amer. Power Conf., Chicago, IL, April 1986.

Improving the Performance of Critical Plant Components - An Analytical Approach, R.N. Hunt, M. Modarres, and M.L. Roush, 13th Inter-RAM Conf, Syracuse, N.Y., June 1986.

Application of Goal Tree - Success Tree Model for Real-Time Advisory Systems, M. Modarres, Annual Research Review Conf. Of Systems Research Center, Univ. Of Maryland, Sept. 1986.

Application of Goal Trees to Evaluation of the Impact of Information Upon Plant Availability, M.L. Roush, M. Modarres and R.N. Hunt, ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Methods and Applications, San Francisco, CA, Feb. 1985.

Use of The Goal Tree Methodology to Evaluate Institutional Practices and Their Effect on Power Plant Hardware Performance, R.N. Hunt and M. Modarres, ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Methods and Applications, San Francisco, CA, Feb. 1985.

Uncertainty Analysis with Statistically Correlated Failure Data, M. Modarres, H. Dezfuli, and M.L. Roush, Int. Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Seminar on Implications of Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Blackpool, UK, March 1985, (Invited Paper).

Application of Goal Trees in Reliability Allocation for Systems and Components of Nuclear Power Plants, M. Modarres, M.L. Roush, and R.N. Hunt, 12th Inter-RAM Conf., Baltimore, Maryland, April 1985.

University of Maryland Program in Reliability Engineering, M. Modarres, M. Roush, and Weiss, IES Conf. On Enhancement of Quality and Reliability, Baltimore, Maryland, June 1985).

Application of Goal Trees for Nuclear Power Plant Hardware Protection, M. Modarres, M.L. Roush, and R.N. Hunt, 8th Int. Conf. On Structural Mechanics in Reactor Tech., Brussels, Belgium, Aug. 1985.

A Hierarchical Goal Tree Structure for Containment Integrity, M.L. Roush, M. Modarres, and R.N. Hunt, 2nd Inter. Workshop on Containment Integrity, June 1984.

Probabilistic Safety Analysis with Statistically Correlated Failure Data, M. Modarres, and H. Dezfuli, the Int. Meeting on Thermal Nuclear Reactor Safety, Karlsruhe, Germany, Sept. 1984.

Integrated Economic Risk Management in a Nuclear Power Plant, R.N. Hunt and M. Modarres, 1984 Annual Meeting of Society for Risk Analysis, Oct. 1984.

The Interim Reliability Evaluation Program (IREP) Analysis of Millstone Unit 1, P.J. Amico and M. Modarres, et al., Int. Meeting on Thermal Nuclear Reactor Safety, Sept. 1982.

Mathematical Concepts of Time-Dependent Fault Tree Evaluation, M. Modarres, Int. ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Sept. 1981.

Application and Extension of the MOCUS-BACKFIRE Common Cause Analysis Code to Re-actor Safety Systems, M. Modarres, et al., Int. ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Sept. 1981.

Monte-Carlo Simulation by the PL-MODMC Code, M. Modarres, N.C. Rasmussen, and L. Wolf, Trans. of Amer. Nuclear Soc., 35, pp. 395-396, 1980.

PL-MODT: A Modular Fault Tree Analysis and Transient Evaluation Code, M. Modarres and L. Wolf, Trans. Of Am. Nuclear Sec., 29, pp. 510-511, 1979. C.2. Automatic Reduction of Complex Fault Trees by PL-MODT, M. Modarres and L. Wolf, Trans. of Am. Nuclear Soc., Vol. 30, pp. 362-363, 1978.

Food Safety Risk Communication Primer, N. Eisenberg, B. Silverberg, M. Modarres, Center for Technology Risk Studies, June 2001.

Integrated Risk and Performance-Based Analysis Software: Phase-I Development, M. Modarres, H. Hadavi, and T. Wu, Empire State Energy Research Corporation, Report EP 97 - 11, May 1999.

Integrated Thermal Hydraulic Analysis and Probabilistic Assessment for Safety Evaluation and Scenario Screening of the AP600 Reactor, Y. Guan, F. Li, R. Alamsyah, and M. Modarres, Scientech, Inc., and U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

A Method of Assessing Influence of Organization on Plant Safety with Application to Performance Indicator Evaluation, A. Mosleh, M. Modarres, E. Golfeiz, U.S. NRC ,1997.

Consideration of Uncertainties in Risk-Informed Decisions, M. Modarres, A. Mosleh, Prepared for the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, October 1997.

Functional Specifications for a PRA-Based Decision Making Tool, Fl. Specter, M. Modarres, Empire State Electric Energy Research Corporation, Report No. EP 95-14, April 1996.

Application of Master Plant Logic Diagram in New Production Reactors, J. Meyer, H. Dezfuli, D. Chung and M. Modarres, Scientech, Inc., Performed for the Dept. Of Energy, 1991.

LWR Categorization Report, M. Modarres, E. Lois and P. Amico, Performed for Martin Marietta Energy Systems, Oak Ridge Natl. Lab., 1984.

A Review of the Report: Precursors to Potential Severe Core Damage Accidents: 1969-1979, Performed for Martin Marietta Energy Systems, Oak Ridge Natl. Lab., Univ. Of Maryland, College Park, 1983.

MOCUS-BACKFIRE User's Manual, C.D. Heising, R. Karimi, C. Mark, M. Modarres, N. Rasmussen, and L. Wolf, MIT Energy Laboratory Report No. MIT-EL-81-034, Nov. 1981.

Reliability Analysis of Complex Technical Systems Using the Fault Tree Modularization Technique, M. Modarres, MIT Dept. Of Nuclear Engineering Report, M1TNE-228, Jan. 1980.

PL-MODT and PL-MODMC, Two Codes for Reliability and Availability Analysis of Complex Technical Systems Using the Fault Tree Modularization Technique, M. Modarres and L. Wolf, MIT Dept. Of Nuclear Engineering Report, MITNE-222, Nov. 1978.